After reviewing Willy Whipsaw’s deviltry in the markets of May 2-6 (1:34) and the week’s macro news (10:16), Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau dive (14:03) into the May 4 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which raised the range of Federal Funds rate by 50 basis points, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference. While the risk markets rallied that Wednesday on Powell’s ruling out for the time being 75 bps move hikes, Jeff and Sam in particular focus on the Fed’s guidance on the pace and timing quantitative tightening. QT is scheduled to start June 1 with potential reductions of $30 billion in Treasuries and $17½ billion in Agency MBS, shedding those assets at a pace of up to $60 billion and $35 billion, respectively, in subsequent months.
Looking ahead the week of May 9-13 (31:40), Jeff and Sam will be watching Wednesday for the Consumer Price Index for April, and Thursday for the Producer Price Index.
Mr. Mayberry joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives‐based and multi‐asset strategies. Mr. Mayberry is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee and a contributing member on our Global Asset Allocation and Macro committees. He also co-hosts DoubleLine’s weekly Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcast. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Mayberry was a Senior Vice President at TCW for nine years within the Mortgage Group, where he specialized in portfolio and fund monitoring and analytics. He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Financial Engineering from the Peter F. Drucker Graduate School of Management at Claremont Graduate University.
Mr. Lau joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation (FIAA) Committee and a contributing member on the Global Asset Allocation and Macro Committees. Mr. Lau is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives-based and multi-asset strategies, including DoubleLine's Shiller Enhanced CAPE®, Shiller Enhanced International CAPE®, Real Estate and Income, and Multi-Asset Trend strategies. He also co-hosts the Sherman Show (Twitter @ShermanShowPod, ShermanShow@Doubleline.com) and Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcasts. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Lau was a Vice President at TCW where he worked under Jeffrey Gundlach as a Research Analyst in the Mortgage Group. He holds a B.S. from the University of Wisconsin, Madison and an MBA from the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California.
