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Feb 2023

DoubleLine Views on the U.S. Dollar 2-2023 (f)

DoubleLine believes the U.S. dollar peaked in September 2022, as measured by the DXY Index. While we see the disinflation trend continuing, inflation surprises or a flight-to-quality move could cause dollar strength in the near term.  DoubleLine would view any near-term strength in the dollar as an entry point to add to a short dollar position via emerging markets (EM) hard currency, EM local currency, non-dollar developed market bonds or foreign exchange (fx) forwards.  DoubleLine believes there are a multitude of potential factors that could lead to dollar weakness over the medium term.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

  • William Campbell

    Portfolio Manager
    International Fixed Income - Int. Sovereign

    William Campbell

    Portfolio Manager
    International Fixed Income - Int. Sovereign

    Mr. Campbell joined DoubleLine in 2013. He is a Portfolio Manager for the DoubleLine Global Bond Strategy and is a permanent member of the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee. He covers Developed Markets, Central & Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa (CEEMEA), and China. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Campbell worked for Peridiem Global Investors as a Global Fixed Income Research Analyst and Portfolio Manager. Previous to that, he was with Nuveen Investment Management Company, first as a Quantitative Analyst in their Risk Management and Portfolio Construction Group, then as a Vice President in their Taxable Fixed Income Group. Mr. Campbell also worked at John Hancock Financial as an Investment Analyst. He holds a BS in Business Economics and International Business, as well as a BA in English, from Pennsylvania State University. Mr. Campbell holds an MA in Mathematics, with a focus on Mathematical Finance, from Boston University.