The fourth quarter of 2024 marked a reversal from the third quarter, as longer-duration and higher-rated sectors underperformed shorter-duration and lower-rated cohorts, driven primarily by rising U.S. Treasury rates. (Figure 1) Falling prices for Treasuries, Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and investment grade (IG) corporate bonds contributed to a negative 3.06% return for the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index (the “Agg”). In November, the U.S. election resulted in a changing of the guard, as Kamala Harris was defeated by Donald Trump, and all eyes turned to the incoming administration’s policy proposals, notably, pro-growth policies which further increased Treasury yields. For the quarter, the two year Treasury yield rose 60 basis points (bps), the five-year rose 82 bps, the 10-year rose 79 bps, and the 30-year bond yield rose 66 bps. Securitized and corporate credit spreads broadly tightened, and credit curves flattened.
Mr. Gundlach is CEO of DoubleLine. In 2011, he appeared on the cover of Barron's as "The New Bond King." In 2013, Institutional Investor named him "Money Manager of the Year." In 2012, 2015 and 2016, he was named one of "The Fifty Most Influential" in Bloomberg Markets. In 2017, he was inducted into the FIASI Fixed Income Hall of Fame. Mr. Gundlach is a summa cum laude graduate of Dartmouth College, with degrees in Mathematics and Philosophy.