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Nov 15, 2024 | DoubleLine Minutes

Trump Trades, Powell Patience and Truss, Too (E191)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Analyst Mark Kimbrough survey the Nov. 11-15 week for stocks (0:57), with the Trump-buoyed energy and financial sectors alone of the 11 S&P 500 sectors to post gains; fixed income (2:40) mostly lower on amid rising rates; and commodities lower (4:20), with energy prices perhaps reflecting the “drill, baby, drill” mindset of the president-elect. For the week’s macro news (6:05), Mark Kimbrough dives into an in-line CPI report for the month of October, a hotter-than-expected PPI report and, in his opinion, some “quite entertaining” retail sales revisions. Jeff Mayberry notes that remarks by Jerome Powell (18:55) showing the Fed chairman in no hurry to cut rates clearly weighed on the federal funds futures market. For their Topic of the Week (20:55), Jeff and Mark answer a listener’s question about whether the steep climb in 10- and 30-year Treasury yields might signal that deficit- and debt-addicted Washington is heading for its own Liz Truss-type reckoning. In 2022, then-UK Prime Minister Truss proposed an unfunded budget. That sent gilt yields soaring and cut short Truss’s tenure at 10 Down Street. Looking to the week ahead (24:51), Jeff and Mark will be on the lookout for jobless claims on Thursday and the S&P Global purchasing managers surveys for the manufacturing and services sectors of the U.S. economy.

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ABOUT THE HOSTS

ABOUT THE HOSTS

  • Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Mayberry joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives‐based and multi‐asset strategies. Mr. Mayberry is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee and a contributing member on our Global Asset Allocation and Macro committees. He also co-hosts DoubleLine’s weekly Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcast. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Mayberry was a Senior Vice President at TCW for nine years within the Mortgage Group, where he specialized in portfolio and fund monitoring and analytics. He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Financial Engineering from the Peter F. Drucker Graduate School of Management at Claremont Graduate University.

  • Mark Kimbrough, CFA

    Macro Asset Allocation

    Mark Kimbrough, CFA

    Macro Asset Allocation

    Mr. Kimbrough joined DoubleLine in 2012, where he worked primarily on Agency Mortgage Backed Securities and the Fixed Income Asset Allocation process as a member of the Risk Analyst team. He transitioned to his current role in 2019 where he serves as an Analyst on the Macro Asset Allocation team. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Kimbrough was at Western Asset Management working on systems monitoring and development within the Risk Department. He holds a BS in Business Administration with a concentration in Real Estate Finance and a minor in Economics from the University of Southern California. Mr. Kimbrough is a CFA® charterholder.