DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Eric Dhall and Fixed Income Asset Allocation Strategist Ryan Kimmel recap the week of March 24-28, with markets reacting to new macro prints and a tariff regime scheduled to be unveiled by the White House on April 2, which President Donald Trump has dubbed “Liberation Day.” Stocks were down, roiled by tariff talk; bonds were no place to hide (2:11); gold continued to shine, flirting with crossing the $3,100 mark (3:30); and commodities were up, lifted by precious metals (3:49). Over in Macro Land (5:56), the week included a PMI mixed bag, manufacturing contractionary/services expansionary; the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for March, with outlook deteriorating (6:53); an upside surprise in durable goods orders (7:55); and the week closed with a sticky PCE inflation number that raises questions about interest rate cuts (9:23). Friday also delivered the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which expresses a lot of anxiety about recession risk and inflation levels (14:34). Next week will bring Liberation Day, and a possible reordering of the global trade regime, as well as Friday’s jobs report (16:40).
Mr. Dhall joined DoubleLine in 2013. He is a Portfolio Manager on the Macro-Asset Allocation team where he works with portfolio management performing analysis and trading for derivatives-based and multi-asset strategies. Mr. Dhall’s research and analysis has contributed to the team’s development of DoubleLine’s smart-beta suite of strategies. Prior to DoubleLine, he worked at Capital Group performing quantitative analysis in fixed income. Prior to Capital Group, Mr. Dhall was an instructor in finance at the UCLA Anderson School of Management and a research instructor at the UCLA Samueli School of Engineering. Previous to that, he worked in International Finance at Gulf Machinery Company. Mr. Dhall holds a B.S. in Physics with a secondary emphasis in Business from the University of California, Berkeley and an M.S. in Financial Engineering from the UCLA Anderson School of Management.
Mr. Kimmel joined DoubleLine in 2013. He is an Analyst overseeing the Multi-Asset Growth Strategy. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Kimmel was a Proprietary Trader at The Gelber Group, trading currencies for the Foreign Currency Group. Previous to that, he was an Investment Banking Analyst in Morgan Stanley’s Mergers and Acquisitions Group. Mr. Kimmel holds a B.A. in Business Economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) and an MBA from UCLA’s Anderson School of Management.
