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Jun 09, 2023 | DoubleLine Minutes

MMM Episode 119: Looking Ahead to the CPI and FOMC

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau cover the June 5-9 results for stocks, including a rebound for regional banks (2:41); fixed income (4:11), a bit of pressure on duration, gains for emerging market debt and bank loans; commodities, their first positive week in about two months (8:50). It was a quiet week for macro news (13:29). One of the few notable prints was a sluggish ISM Services PMI report. The May survey came in at a barely expansionary 50.3 vs. a consensus expectation of 52.4. Samuel Lau notes that the Services PMI has been trending lower in recent months. Next week promises a busier news calendar (16:40). With the futures market pricing 30-70 odds of a hike or pause in the federal funds rate, Jeff Mayberry notes the May CPI report due Tuesday June 13 will likely be a market-moving event. After the release of the May PPI on Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee, the rate-setting body of the Federal Reserve, meets.

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ABOUT THE HOSTS

ABOUT THE HOSTS

  • Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Mayberry joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives‐based and multi‐asset strategies. Mr. Mayberry is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee and a contributing member on our Global Asset Allocation and Macro committees. He also co-hosts DoubleLine’s weekly Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcast. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Mayberry was a Senior Vice President at TCW for nine years within the Mortgage Group, where he specialized in portfolio and fund monitoring and analytics. He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Financial Engineering from the Peter F. Drucker Graduate School of Management at Claremont Graduate University.

  • Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Lau joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation (FIAA) Committee and a contributing member on the Global Asset Allocation and Macro Committees. Mr. Lau is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives-based and multi-asset strategies, including DoubleLine's Shiller Enhanced CAPE®, Shiller Enhanced International CAPE®, Real Estate and Income, and Multi-Asset Trend strategies. He also co-hosts the Sherman Show (Twitter @ShermanShowPod, ShermanShow@Doubleline.com) and Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcasts. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Lau was a Vice President at TCW where he worked under Jeffrey Gundlach as a Research Analyst in the Mortgage Group. He holds a B.S. from the University of Wisconsin, Madison and an MBA from the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California.