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June 23, 2023 | Monday Morning Minutes

MMM Episode 121: Powell Talks More Hikes, Futures Don’t Think So

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall cover the June 19-23 week’s performance in equities (1:57), fixed income (3:19) and commodities (5:04), then digest bearish readings (7:11) in the latest initial jobless claims report and reading on the Leading Economic Index. Afterward Jeff Mayberry reviews Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress (12:33), noting that pricing in the futures market reflects skepticism over the Fed’s ability to make good on the Fed chair’s guidance for two more hikes in the fed funds target rate. On Eric Dhall’s watch list (16:00) for the week of June 26-30 are durable goods and the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-city house price index (Tuesday), wholesale inventories (Wednesday), third quarter GDP estimate and jobless claims (Thursday) and personal income and personal spending (Friday). Jeff Mayberry expects that heavy schedule to whip up heightened market volatility.

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ABOUT THE HOSTS

ABOUT THE HOSTS

  • Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Mayberry joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives‐based and multi‐asset strategies. Mr. Mayberry is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation (FIAA) committee and a contributing member on our Global Asset Allocation and Macro committees. He also co-hosts DoubleLine’s weekly Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcast. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Mayberry was a Senior Vice President at TCW for nine years within the Mortgage Group, where he specialized in portfolio and fund monitoring and analytics. He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Financial Engineering from the Peter F. Drucker Graduate School of Management at Claremont Graduate University.

  • Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Lau joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation (FIAA) Committee and a contributing member on the Global Asset Allocation and Macro committees. Mr. Lau is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives-based and multi-asset strategies, including DoubleLine's Shiller Enhanced CAPE®, Shiller Enhanced International CAPE®, Real Estate and Income, and Multi-Asset Trend strategies. He also co-hosts the Sherman Show (Twitter @ShermanShowPod, ShermanShow@Doubleline.com) and Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcasts. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Lau was a Vice President at TCW where he worked under Jeffrey Gundlach as a Research Analyst in the Mortgage Group. He holds a B.S. from the University of Wisconsin, Madison and an MBA from the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California.