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Jul 14, 2023 | DoubleLine Minutes

MMM Episode 124: Inflation Progress, But Potential Headwinds Ahead

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall tour market and macro news for the July 10-14 week, then look into the week ahead. The discussion begins with markets, including U.S equities (2:02), fixed income (4:08), commodities (6:15), the U.S. dollar (6:59), gold (7:31) and Bitcoin (7:47). The macro news (8:13) was dominated, as Eric Dhall notes, by a “trifecta of beats” on the inflation front, with the CPI and PPI showing lower-than-expected inflation in June and import prices showing outright deflation. The podcast hosts, however, tempered that news with the observation that if housing prices remain resilient, core consumer inflation (ex-food and energy) could find a floor at 3% year-over-year. Looking ahead to the July 17-21 week (23:09), Sam and Eric have on their radar retail sales and industrial production (due Tuesday), initial and continuing jobless claims (Thursday) and the recession-flashing Leading Economic Index (Thursday).

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ABOUT THE HOSTS

ABOUT THE HOSTS

  • Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Mayberry joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives‐based and multi‐asset strategies. Mr. Mayberry is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee and a contributing member on our Global Asset Allocation and Macro committees. He also co-hosts DoubleLine’s weekly Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcast. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Mayberry was a Senior Vice President at TCW for nine years within the Mortgage Group, where he specialized in portfolio and fund monitoring and analytics. He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Financial Engineering from the Peter F. Drucker Graduate School of Management at Claremont Graduate University.

  • Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Lau joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation (FIAA) Committee and a contributing member on the Global Asset Allocation and Macro Committees. Mr. Lau is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives-based and multi-asset strategies, including DoubleLine's Shiller Enhanced CAPE®, Shiller Enhanced International CAPE®, Real Estate and Income, and Multi-Asset Trend strategies. He also co-hosts the Sherman Show (Twitter @ShermanShowPod, ShermanShow@Doubleline.com) and Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcasts. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Lau was a Vice President at TCW where he worked under Jeffrey Gundlach as a Research Analyst in the Mortgage Group. He holds a B.S. from the University of Wisconsin, Madison and an MBA from the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California.