Search
Podcast
Markets
Oct 08, 2021 | DoubleLine Minutes

MMM Episode 36: T-bills Handicapping Congress, a 10-Year Breakout and Triple Witching Hours

After wrapping up the market and macro news of Oct. 4-10, Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau explain Triple Witching Hour and its cousins: the Double Witching Hour and the erstwhile Quadruple Witching Hour (13:02). The week of Oct. 4-8 brought with it temporary action to fund the federal government, averting the possibility, however remote, of a default by the U.S. Treasury on its obligations. The podcast hosts, speaking intraday before the close, discuss a breakout above 1.50% for the 10-year Treasury yield (2:18), although Jeff points out that the 10-year bond has a way to go before reaching 1.74%, its high for calendar year 2021. The podcast hosts note the T-bill market’s response to the debt ceiling theatrics (7:34). 

A mixed bag of positive and disappointing news on the jobs and unemployment front (8:24) had Jeff and Sam asking about the implications for a possible tapering of asset purchases by the Federal Reserve. Looking ahead, for the week of Oct. 11-15, among other data points, Jeff and Sam will be looking for how the Consumer Price Index for September compares to expectations of a year-over-year rise of 8.8% and what is to be gleaned from the release of the next batch of FOMC minutes.

ABOUT THE HOSTS

ABOUT THE HOSTS

  • Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Jeffrey Mayberry

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Mayberry joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives‐based and multi‐asset strategies. Mr. Mayberry is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee and a contributing member on our Global Asset Allocation and Macro committees. He also co-hosts DoubleLine’s weekly Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcast. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Mayberry was a Senior Vice President at TCW for nine years within the Mortgage Group, where he specialized in portfolio and fund monitoring and analytics. He holds a B.S. in Engineering from Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Financial Engineering from the Peter F. Drucker Graduate School of Management at Claremont Graduate University.

  • Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Samuel Lau

    Macro-Asset Allocation

    Mr. Lau joined DoubleLine in 2009. He is a Strategist on the Fixed Income Asset Allocation (FIAA) Committee and a contributing member on the Global Asset Allocation and Macro Committees. Mr. Lau is a Portfolio Manager on DoubleLine’s strategic commodity strategy while working in portfolio management and trading for derivatives-based and multi-asset strategies, including DoubleLine's Shiller Enhanced CAPE®, Shiller Enhanced International CAPE®, Real Estate and Income, and Multi-Asset Trend strategies. He also co-hosts the Sherman Show (Twitter @ShermanShowPod, ShermanShow@Doubleline.com) and Monday Morning Minutes (Twitter @DLineMinutes, Minutes@Doubleline.com) podcasts. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Lau was a Vice President at TCW where he worked under Jeffrey Gundlach as a Research Analyst in the Mortgage Group. He holds a B.S. from the University of Wisconsin, Madison and an MBA from the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California.