Conventional thinking holds that higher interest rates mean lower home prices – or the corollary, lower rates mean higher prices. This naïve formulation, DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Ken Shinoda argues, overlooks the interplay of home prices and mortgage costs with housing supply and demand dynamics. In the current context of historically low inventories and strong homebuyer demographics, Mr. Shinoda believes home “prices could soften in the future if borrowing costs fall to borrower behavior-changing levels.” In this article, he explains why.
Mr. Shinoda joined DoubleLine at inception in 2009. He is Chairman of the Structured Products Committee and oversees the non-Agency RMBS team specializing in investing in non-Agency mortgage-backed securities, residential whole loans and other mortgage-related opportunities. Mr. Shinoda is co-Portfolio Manager on the Total Return, Opportunistic Income, Income, Opportunistic MBS and Strategic MBS strategies. He is also lead Portfolio Manager overseeing the Mortgage Opportunities private funds. Mr. Shinoda is also a permanent member of the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee, as well as, participating in the Global Asset Allocation Committee. In addition, he hosts DoubleLine’s “Channel 11 News” (Twitter @DLineChannel11, dline11@doubleline.com), a webcast series that provides market insights and commentary with peers and industry experts. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Shinoda was Vice President at TCW where he worked in portfolio management and trading. He holds a B.S. in Business Administration from the University of Southern California and is a CFA® charterholder.
