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Markets
Feb 2023

DoubleLine Views on the U.S. Dollar

DoubleLine believes the U.S. dollar peaked in September 2022, as measured by the DXY Index. While we see the disinflation trend continuing, inflation surprises or a flight-to-quality move could cause dollar strength in the near term.  DoubleLine would view any near-term strength in the dollar as an entry point to add to a short dollar position via emerging markets (EM) hard currency, EM local currency, non-dollar developed market bonds or foreign exchange (fx) forwards.  DoubleLine believes there are a multitude of potential factors that could lead to dollar weakness over the medium term.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

  • William Campbell

    Portfolio Manager
    International Fixed Income - Int. Sovereign

    William Campbell

    Portfolio Manager
    International Fixed Income - Int. Sovereign

    Mr. Campbell joined DoubleLine in 2013. He is a Portfolio Manager for the DoubleLine Global Bond Strategy and is a permanent member of the Fixed Income Asset Allocation Committee. He covers Developed Markets, Central & Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa (CEEMEA), and China. Prior to DoubleLine, Mr. Campbell worked for Peridiem Global Investors as a Global Fixed Income Research Analyst and Portfolio Manager. Previous to that, he was with Nuveen Investment Management Company, first as a Quantitative Analyst in their Risk Management and Portfolio Construction Group, then as a Vice President in their Taxable Fixed Income Group. Mr. Campbell also worked at John Hancock Financial as an Investment Analyst. He holds a BS in Business Economics and International Business, as well as a BA in English, from Pennsylvania State University. Mr. Campbell holds an MA in Mathematics, with a focus on Mathematical Finance, from Boston University.