Macroeconomist Zoltan Pozsar, a Managing Director in the Investment Strategy and Research department at Credit Suisse, discusses with hosts Jeffrey Sherman and Samuel Lau, among other topics, the possibilities of “ugly versus beautiful” quantitative tightening by the Federal Reserve (13:18); his expectation of scant demand for Treasuries by FX hedge buyers, foreign central banks and domestic bank portfolios once those assets start rolling off the Fed’s balance sheet (15:44); a vulnerability of the U.S. banking system to mobile retail deposits (19:36) and commodity price spikes (21:48); and non-U.S. central banks diversifying part of their forex reserves away from the dollar (36:20). The podcast was recorded April 25, 2022.
In addition to his economic training in academia and market experience on Wall Street, Mr. Pozsar brings deep experience from within the financial and monetary system itself. Before joining Credit Suisse in 2015, he served as a senior adviser to the U.S. Treasury Department, focusing on matters of financial innovation. As part of the response to the global financial crisis and contributions to the resulting policy debate, in August 2008 he joined the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. There he oversaw market intelligence for securitized credit markets and served as point person on market developments for senior Federal Reserve, Treasury and White House officials. He also worked at the International Monetary Fund where he took part in framing the IMF’s position on shadow banking.
The views and opinions expressed herein are as of the date recorded and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any securities. Such views/opinions may differ from those of DoubleLine Capital or other of its affiliates and are subject to change without notice. DoubleLine has no obligation to provide any updates or changes. The following audio presentations represent DoubleLine’s intellectual property. No portion of these presentations may be published, reproduced, transmitted or rebroadcast in any media in any form without the express written permission of DoubleLine. DoubleLine has no obligation to provide any updates or changes. To receive permission from DoubleLine please contact [email protected].
Neither DoubleLine nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this podcast and any liability therefore (including in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage) is expressly disclaimed.
DoubleLine is not providing any financial, economic, legal, accounting or tax advice in these podcasts. The receipt of these podcasts by any listener is not to be taken as constituting the giving of investment advice by any DoubleLine entity or individual to that listener, nor to constitute such person a client of any DoubleLine entity. The portfolio risk management process includes an effort to monitor and manage risk, but does not imply low risk.